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The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Vol 88, 1020-1032, Copyright © 1984 by The American Association for Thoracic Surgery and The Western Thoracic Surgical Association
CE Moreno-Cabral, DC Miller, RS Mitchell, EB Stinson, PE Oyer, SW Jamieson and NE Shumway
To identify significant predictors of early and late mortality,
multivariate discriminant analyses were applied to the clinical outcome of
175 consecutive patients with thoracic aortic aneurysms operated upon over
a 20 year span. Only atherosclerotic and degenerative aneurysms were
included; the patients were segregated into two groups according to
location of the aneurysm. The ascending aortic aneurysm group consisted of
124 patients, 85% of whom required concomitant aortic valve replacement.
There were 51 patients in the descending aortic aneurysm group. Mean
follow-up was 4.9 years (maximum of 19 years), with a total of 860
patient-years of follow-up. Multivariate analyses revealed that surgical
priority and advanced age were independent determinants of hospital
mortality in the ascending group; for the descending group, surgical
priority and the presence of congestive heart failure were the strongest
predictors of hospital mortality. Late mortality in the ascending group
correlated with advanced age. Hypertension and the presence of preoperative
congestive heart failure were independent determinants of late mortality in
the descending group. Several variables did not have any independent
bearing on hospital or late mortality, including etiology and location of
the aneurysm, previous myocardial infarction, chronic lung disease, and
concomitant aortic valve replacement. High-risk subgroups of patients with
thoracic aortic aneurysms can be identified by these variables. Aggressive
medical plus surgical management and operation prior to aneurysm rupture is
necessary to improve both early and long- term survival rates.
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Degenerative and atherosclerotic aneurysms of the thoracic aorta. Determinants of early and late surgical outcome
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