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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2003;125:1372-1387
© 2003 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery
Surgery for Acquired Cardiovascular Disease |
From the Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgerya and the Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology,b The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio.
Received for publication Aug 20, 2002. Revisions requested Aug 28, 2002; revisions received Sept 9, 2002. Accepted for publication Sept 17, 2002. Address for reprints: A. Marc Gillinov, MD, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery/F25, 9500 Euclid Ave, Cleveland, OH 44195. (E-mail: gillinom{at}ccf.org).
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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| Patients and methods |
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Definitions
Mitral valve disease was classified on the basis of analysis of clinical information, operative reports, catheterization reports, and echocardiograms. Degenerative mitral valve disease was considered to be present when the patient had mitral valve regurgitation resulting from leaflet prolapse and pathologic findings at operation consistent with degenerative disease.
14 Rheumatic mitral valve disease was considered to be present when the patient had mitral valve stenosis or pathologic and echocardiographic findings consistent with a rheumatic process.
15 Patients were deemed to have ischemic mitral valve regurgitation if they had papillary muscle infarction or mitral valve regurgitation caused by changes in left ventricular or anular geometry attributable to previous myocardial infarction.
16 Finally, patients with structurally normal mitral valves and no history of myocardial infarction were considered to have functional mitral valve regurgitation attributable to the effects of aortic valve disease.
Patient characteristics
Mean age of patients undergoing double valve replacement was 60 ± 13 years and among those receiving mitral valve repair was 61 ± 13 years (P = .16). Other patient characteristics, details of the cause and pathophysiology of the valve disease, cardiac and noncardiac comorbidity, and the operative procedure are given in Tables 1-3. Most patients had rheumatic valve disease and some degree of mitral valve stenosis. Forty-three percent of patients undergoing mitral valve repair had open mitral commissurotomy, and 59% had an annuloplasty. Aortic prostheses included 301 mechanical valves and 512 bioprostheses. Mitral valve prostheses included 202 mechanical valves and 317 bioprostheses. One patient had initial replacement with a mechanical prosthesis; a calcified anulus caused a perivalvar leak, and the valve was replaced with a bioprosthesis at the same operation. Operative reports did not permit the determination of the extent to which chordal-sparing techniques were used at mitral valve replacement. Concomitant procedures included coronary artery bypass grafting in 237 patients (29%), including 100 with mitral valve repair (34%) and 137 with mitral valve replacement (26%). Sixty-two patients (8%) had tricuspid valve repair.
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Data analyses
Mitral valve replacement versus repair: Propensity analysis
Repair or replacement of the mitral valve was by surgeon choice. Therefore, attempts were made to adjust for selection factors in the analyses. The probability that the patient's mitral valve would be replaced rather than repaired was estimated by multivariable logistic regression by use of the demographic information, clinical status, cause of valve disease, pathophysiology of valve disease, and cardiac and noncardiac comorbidity variables that are listed in Appendix Table 1
. In addition, because one of the possible selection criteria could have been whether the patient would receive long-term anticoagulation, the variable "mechanical aortic prosthesis" was included in the analysis. Variable selection for a parsimonious model was performed as described below under Multivariable Analysis.
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Outcomes: Survival and durability of mitral valve repair
Time-related outcomes were all-cause death and reoperation. The analysis of reoperation focused primarily on mitral valve replacement after mitral valve repair. Nonparametric estimates used the Kaplan-Meier estimator. A parametric method was used to resolve the number of phases of instantaneous risk (hazard function) and to estimate their shaping parameters.
20 (Available at http://clevelandclinic.org/heartcenter/hazard.)
Multivariable analyses
Potential risk factors were organized for entry into the various analyses as shown in Appendix Table 1
. Exploratory analysis of these variables included correlation analysis, multiple stratified life-table analyses compared by use of the log-rank test, contingency table analyses, and simple t testing. Continuous and ordinal variables were assessed univariably by decile analysis to suggest transformations of scale to incorporate into the multivariable analyses to ensure that the relationship of these variables to outcome was well calibrated with respect to model assumptions.
For each of the hazard models, the multivariable analysis simultaneously incorporated variables into each hazard phase. For these, as well as the logistic regression analysis of propensity, a directed technique of entry of variables was used.
21 In all analyses of outcome, both the propensity score and the variable indicating mitral valve replacement rather than repair were always incorporated, regardless of their statistical significance. Additionally, interaction terms were formed between all variables and the indication of mitral valve replacement rather than repair to investigate the possibility that some variables had a differential influence in one or the other group.
The P value criterion for retention of variables in the final model was .1, except that both propensity score and the variable indicating mitral valve replacement rather than repair were retained in the analyses of outcome. This strategy does not, however, balance against type I and type II statistical error. Therefore, we supplemented the analyses with bootstrap random resampling, repeated 1000 times, to determine the likelihood of variables entering such an analysis at the 5% significance level.
22,23
Analysis of benefit
To estimate the benefit of either mitral valve replacement or repair, the multivariable survival equation was solved for each patient twice, once as if the patient's mitral valve had been replaced and once again as if it had been repaired. The difference in predicted percent survival at 16 years for each of these two strategies was compared. The comparison included multiple linear regression analysis of the survival differences for their preoperative prediction as well as construction of stratified cumulative distribution curves.
Presentation
Mortality and survival estimates are accompanied by asymmetric 68% confidence limits (CL), comparable to ±1 standard error.
| Results |
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Survival advantage of mitral valve repair
Thirty-six (7.0%, CL 5.8% to 8.3%) patients died in the hospital after undergoing double valve replacement and 16 patients (5.4%, CL 4.1% to 7.1%) after aortic valve replacement and mitral valve repair (P = .4). The most common modes of death were heart failure (34 patients, 65%) and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (10 patients, 19%).
There were 287 deaths after hospital discharge. After a double valve replacement, the survival rate was 93%, 86%, 72%, 52%, and 34% at 30 days, 1, 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively, after operation; after aortic valve replacement and mitral valve repair, the survival rate was 95%, 89%, 79%, 63%, and 46% at these same time intervals (P = .01, Figure 1, A). The instantaneous risk of death was highest immediately after operation and fell to its lowest level at 1 year, rising slowly thereafter. However, this late phase of hazard was consistently higher after mitral valve replacement than repair (Figure 1
, B).
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| Discussion |
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During the last two decades, we have taken an aggressive approach to mitral valve repair. In spite of this, most patients with combined aortic and mitral valve disease have been managed with double valve replacement. This analysis identified certain characteristics associated with use of mitral valve repair rather than valve replacement. Patients requiring warfarin therapy for atrial fibrillation or a mechanical aortic prosthesis usually received a mechanical mitral prosthesis. Patients with severe mitral valve stenosis and mitral valve leaflet calcification were more likely to undergo mitral valve replacement rather than mitral commissurotomy. In contrast, patients with purely functional mitral valve regurgitation were most frequently treated by mitral valve repair, usually consisting of an annuloplasty alone.
This tendency to favor mitral valve replacement in certain groups of patients seemed logical. Patients requiring warfarin for other reasons might be expected to derive the greatest benefit from the excellent durability of a mechanical mitral valve prosthesis. Repair of calcified mitral valves presents a technical challenge with uncertain results, and patients with such valves can be treated expeditiously and reliably by mitral valve replacement. However, the long-term outcome data do not support these practices. None of the factors identified in the propensity analysis results in improved survival for patients having mitral valve replacement. Stated more explicitly, mitral valve replacement is associated with decreased long-term survival in all patients with double valve disease.
Survival advantage of mitral valve repair
The principal finding of this study is that mitral valve repair improves late survival in patients with double valve disease. This survival benefit extends to all patients, including the elderly, those with coronary artery disease, those with depressed left ventricular function, and those with rheumatic and nonrheumatic mitral valve disease.
Mitral valve repair in patients with single valve disease has been studied extensively.
9-11,14,15 Since the introduction of standardized techniques for mitral valve reconstruction by Carpentier,
24 Duran and Ubago,
25 and others, mitral valve repair has become the surgical treatment of choice for mitral valve dysfunction. Numerous retrospective studies of patients with single valve disease have demonstrated important benefits of mitral valve repair over mitral valve replacement.
9-11,14 Furthermore, it is likely that mitral valve repair confers a survival advantage in patients with single valve disease.
9-11
Simultaneous operation on both valves is associated with a hospital mortality rate of 5% to 15%.
26-28 Most contemporary series document a 10-year survival rate of 50% to 70% after double valve replacement; this is similar to late survival after isolated aortic or mitral valve replacement.
1-4,7
There are little data examining the survival impact of mitral valve repair in patients with double valve disease. Kaul and coworkers
7 performed aortic valve replacement and mitral commissurotomy in 72 patients with rheumatic disease. They had no operative deaths and a 9-year survival rate in excess of 90%. Szentpetery
8 demonstrated the feasibility of aortic valve replacement and mitral valve repair in 38 patients, most of whom had degenerative mitral valve disease. With their small number of patients, they were unable to demonstrate a survival advantage to mitral valve repair. Mueller and colleagues
29 found that patients having mitral valve repair and aortic valve replacement demonstrated a trend toward fewer valve-related complications than did patients having double valve replacement; however, they, too, reported similar survival rates after mitral valve repair and mitral valve replacement.
In the largest series of patients undergoing aortic valve replacement and mitral valve repair, Grossi and colleagues
5 analyzed 94 patients having this operative strategy. They were unable to demonstrate a survival advantage to mitral valve repair. Unfortunately, their study included a relatively small group of patients with limited follow-up, and they did not analyze all-cause death as an end point. In contrast, the current analysis of more than 5000 patient-years of follow-up demonstrates that mitral valve replacement is an independent predictor of late death in patients with double valve disease.
Survival advantage of mitral valve repair: Who benefits most?
Patients with double valve disease derive a survival benefit from mitral valve repair. Examination of different subgroups of patients revealed that patients with rheumatic mitral valve disease had a greater survival benefit with repair than did patients with nonrheumatic disease. This is accounted for in part by the finding that patients with rheumatic disease have better late survival than those with nonrheumatic disease, regardless of operative strategy. This may be attributable in part to preserved left ventricular function in patients with rheumatic mitral valve stenosis. Although the prevalence of rheumatic heart disease is declining in developed countries, most patients with double valve disease have rheumatic valves. From this study, we recommend that rheumatic mitral valves be repaired whenever possible in patients with double valve disease.
Durability of mitral valve repair
After repair of rheumatic mitral valves, 15-year freedom from valve replacement was 75%; in contrast, 15-year freedom from valve replacement was 86% after repair of nonrheumatic valves. Rheumatic cause decreases the durability of mitral valve repair. However, the durability of repaired rheumatic mitral valves exceeds that of bioprostheses in the mitral position. Most importantly, rheumatic valve repair confers a survival advantage in spite of somewhat limited 15-year durability.
In most series of patients with single valve disease, 40% to 75% of rheumatic mitral valves can be repaired.
24 Durability of mitral valve repair in the rheumatic population is lower than that in patients with degenerative disease.
14,24 After repair for rheumatic mitral valve regurgitation, 15-year freedom from reoperation is 76%.
24 After open mitral valve commissurotomy for mitral valve stenosis, 10-year freedom from reoperation is 80% to 90%.
15,30-32 Factors reducing the durability of mitral valve repair in rheumatic disease include younger patient age, pure mitral valve regurgitation, mixed mitral valve regurgitation and mitral valve stenosis, and leaflet calcification.
15,30-32 However, late survival is excellent after repair of rheumatic mitral valves, and most authorities favor repair in such patients when feasible.
30-32 Although late mitral valve reoperation for failed repair may be challenging in patients with an aortic prosthesis, current data support an initial strategy of mitral valve repair in patients with rheumatic double valve disease when repair is feasible.
Limitations
This is a nonrandomized clinical study. Using the propensity score, we have attempted to adjust the multivariable analyses of outcomes for nonrandom selection factors related to choice of valvar procedure. However, it can not adjust for unmeasured variables. The decision to repair or replace the mitral valve was made by the surgeon. Not all mitral valves are amenable to repair, particularly those with extensive leaflet calcification. However, none of the surgeons in retrospect were able to identify with certainty which of these patients they would not consider eligible for at least attempted repair. Changing at times across the span of this study, opinions differed and evolved about eligibility for repair. Thus, we have included in the study all patients who underwent operation during the entire time frame.
Serial echocardiographic follow-up assessment of mitral valve function was unavailable in most patients undergoing mitral valve repair. Therefore, the data did not allow identification of patients who had recurrent mitral valve dysfunction but did not undergo reoperation, precluding an assessment of durability on the basis of both reoperation and recurrent valve dysfunction.
The outcomes analyzed were death and mitral valve reoperation. Occurrence of valve-related complications (thromboembolism, endocarditis, anticoagulant-related hemorrhage) have been well studied and reported but were not central to the purposes of this study. We were unable to analyze the impact of chordal preservation on results after mitral valve replacement.
Clinical inferences and decision making
Mitral valve repair is possible in many patients with double valve disease. It improves late survival rates and is more durable than a bioprosthesis. Consequently, when a mitral valve that is amenable to repair is encountered in a patient with double valve disease, it should be repaired rather than replaced to ensure the best long-term outcome.
| Appendix 1 |
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| Appendix: Discussion |
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All surgical groups, including our own, who have reported the advantages of mitral valve reconstruction versus replacement in single valve disease have the a priori notion that the conclusion of this manuscript must be correct. My innate prejudice favoring mitral valve repair makes me believe the conclusion, but I am not sure that the study actually proves the fact.
The study is retrospective and not randomized. The two patient groups are different in significant ways. Although many factors were assessed to try to statistically determine why surgeons chose one operation over another, there are important areas of missing information about factors that have been used to calculate propensities and results.
For example, in the manuscript, for the 813 patients studied, information on mitral valve pathophysiology, that is, stenosis or regurgitation, was available for less than two thirds of the patients, yet mitral valve stenosis is listed as a significant predictor of the operation performed. Also, there are no data in the study on two factors that are known to impact long-term survival in mitral valve disease, namely the severity of the mitral valve disease as represented by levels of pulmonary hypertension or a history of stroke, nor is the history of malignancy evaluated.
Many factors that lead surgeons who know their patients well to choose one operation over another are often not well documented in a hospital chart, let alone quantifiable. It is my contention that surgeons can frequently judge which patients have limited potential for long-term survival exclusive of their valvular disease and will perform the operation that is most expedient. To then attribute late all-cause death to the choice of operation seems inappropriate. Even Dr. Blackstone's extraordinary statistical powers can not accommodate for missing data or truly account for surgeon bias.
There is another equally important feature of this nonprospective, nonrandomized trial that merits attention. The implication in this comparative study is that mitral valve repair was an option for all patients. I doubt that is true. Even in the hands of most experienced surgeons, end-stage calcific mitral valve disease is not amenable to reconstruction. The hypothesis of the study would be easier to validate if the two patient groups studied both contained only patients for whom repair was a viable option.
In terms of the operation performed, the authors do not discuss the issue of chordal-sparing mitral valve replacement. Had this technique been used with mitral valve replacement, do you believe that there would have been better long-term results, as some authors contend?
The authors also state that patients with rheumatic disease have better survival rates than those with nonrheumatic disease and suggest that it is due to better preserved ventricular function, but they did not relate this to the presence of concomitant coronary artery disease. Could concomitant coronary artery disease be the reason for your findings?
I again congratulate Dr. Gillinov and his colleagues at the Cleveland Clinic on this provocative study, and, although I want to believe the inference, I am not sure that it has been proven.
Dr Gillinov. I will try to address all those points one by one, although this may take a while. You are absolutely correct, this is a retrospective clinical study. It is not a randomized prospective study. Such a study would be virtually impossible to perform, and, therefore, we have to analyze the data that are available, and we have done our best to do that. You do note that we have not reported the pathophysiology of mitral valve disease in about one third of the patients. The patients for whom we have specified the pathophysiology are those who had either preoperative or intraoperative echocardiography. We are now going back to gather the data that we can from catheterization reports, but we believe that the data from echocardiography is more reliable because we can more accurately judge the degree of mitral stenosis or regurgitation in these patients. We will be supplementing the data with catheterization reports.
We have not included the variable pulmonary hypertension. I believe that is a good suggestion, and it would be valuable to go back and gather that data and to determine the impact of preoperative pulmonary hypertension on the outcome of these patients.
As far as comorbid conditions such as stroke and malignancy, we do not make our decisions for the valvular procedure in a vacuum. We try to choose the best procedure that applies to the patient, and certainly a patient who has an extremely limited life expectancy on the basis of a progressive cancer might get a different operation from a 40-year-old individual. Again, though, those sorts of variables, as you correctly state, are difficult to capture in this sort of analysis.
We do not attribute all of the deaths in this study to the choice of valve procedure. The people who died are dead. It really doesn't matter of what they died. However, we did find an important relationship between the choice of valvular procedure and the mortality rate, and we believe that this is, in fact, a true relationship. We also agree, as everyone knows, mitral valve repair is not an option for all patients. There are valves that can not be repaired. We would temper our conclusions by saying mitral valve repair should be considered in all patients. If it is a heavily calcified rheumatic mitral valve with a completely fused subvalvular apparatus, this valve probably can not be repaired and should be replaced; and, when doing the replacement, on the basis of data accumulated by Dr David and others, we currently do spare as much of the subvalvular apparatus as possible. When looking for this data in old operative reports, we were unable to find it in most patients, and, therefore, we believed that it would be incorrect to try to analyze an incomplete data set.
Finally, with regard to your question of could the better survival rate in patients with rheumatic disease be related to the prevalence of coronary artery disease in these patients, the answer is no. We did correct for the presence of coronary artery disease. The patients with rheumatic disease simply lived longer.
Dr Tirone E. David (Toronto, Ontario, Canada). If you take a look at the clinical outcomes of mitral valve surgery, aside from things we know like age, New York functional class, and ventricular function before disease, the pathologic process, unlike in the aortic valve, plays a major role in long-term survival. Ischemic mitral valve disease is notoriously a bad disease. If you have severe mitral valve regurgitation caused by ischemia, your patient won't be alive for very many years regardless of whether you do repair or replacement. Conversely, if you have a myxomatous mitral valve, they do very well; they do very well with mitral valve replacement or repair. Did you look at the pathologic process and the effect it had on survival? Was it different in repair or replacement?
Dr Gillinov. Yes, all patients benefited from repair versus replacement. The incremental benefit of repair was greatest in those with rheumatic disease, but it was still present in those with degenerative disease. Only 1% of the patients in this study had ischemic disease, so we did not have an adequate number of patients to comment on patients who have ischemic mitral valve disease and concomitant aortic valve disease.
Dr David. Yet one of your graphs showed that survival with mitral valve replacement with a mechanical valve is almost identical to repair of all causes, telling me perhaps isn't the mortality rate largely related to a failed bioprosthesis or the reoperation it required?
Dr Gillinov. The slide that had the mechanical valves on it was freedom from reoperation. The choice of prosthesis when the mitral valve was replaced did not influence survival rates, but it did influence durability.
Dr Eugene A. Grossi (New York, NY). I have a question about freedom from reoperation in the rheumatic group. Was there a difference in freedom from reoperation between those patients who had mitral stenosis and primarily had a commissurotomy versus mitral valve reconstruction for those who had rheumatic insufficiency?
Dr Gillinov. We did not find any risk factors for reoperation in the patients with rheumatic mitral valve disease.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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| References |
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